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Wuhan Three Towns II vs Jiangxi Liansheng Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:30

Wuhan Three Towns II

PPG 0.78 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Jiangxi Liansheng

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-116.4%0-27.9%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-113.2%1-26.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.6%2-15.3%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.5%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 42.6% 2.35 -26.2%

Draw 33.6% 33.9% 2.95 -0.9%

Away win 34.9% 35.1% 2.85 -0.5%

Over 2.5 36.3% 38.2% 2.62 -4.9%

Over 3.5 18.1% 20.6% 4.85 -7.3%

BTTS 45.8% 48.8% 2.05 -6.1%

Home O1.5 32.1% 35.7% 2.80 -10.1%

Away O1.5 27.7% 29.2% 3.42 -3.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.8%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.2%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.4%

#4 1–0 13.8%

#5 0–2✓ 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan Three Towns II0.8

Jiangxi Liansheng1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN THREE TOWNS II · PPG 0.78

JIANGXI LIANSHENG · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.15, combined xG 1.76 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan Three Towns II (H) 31.4%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -26.2%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -0.9%

Jiangxi Liansheng (A) 34.9%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three Towns II face Jiangxi Liansheng in China - League Two on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three Towns II a 31% chance, the draw 34% and Jiangxi Liansheng 35%, so Jiangxi Liansheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Wuhan Three Towns II and 1.0 for Jiangxi Liansheng (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three Towns II are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 1.33 for Jiangxi Liansheng. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 0-2.

Wuhan Three Towns II vs Jiangxi Liansheng Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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