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Cipolletti vs Argentino Monte Maíz Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Winners Stage · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 18:30

Cipolletti

PPG 2.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Argentino Monte Maíz

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-16.8%0-22.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.8%1-110.7%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.1%2-18.5%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.4%3-14.5%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-12.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% — — —

Draw 24.0% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 27.4% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 47.0% — — —

Away O1.5 16.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -32.3%

Bet Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.8%

#2 2–0 14.1%

#3 0–0 11.3%

#4 1–1 10.7%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cipolletti1.6

Argentino Monte Maíz0.6

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CIPOLLETTI · PPG 2.22

ARGENTINO MONTE MAÍZ · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cipolletti (H) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Argentino Monte Maíz (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cipolletti face Argentino Monte Maíz in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cipolletti a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Argentino Monte Maíz 22%, so Cipolletti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cipolletti and 0.6 for Argentino Monte Maíz (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cipolletti are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 0.78 for Argentino Monte Maíz.

Cipolletti vs Argentino Monte Maíz Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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