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Guillermo Brown vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 18:00

Guillermo Brown

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud Unida Univ.

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.3%0-114.8%0-25.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.6%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.7%2-15.4%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.5%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% — — —

Draw 34.8% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -32.3%

Bet Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.6%

H 40% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.3%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–1 14.8%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guillermo Brown0.9

Juventud Unida Univ.0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GUILLERMO BROWN · PPG 1.38

JUVENTUD UNIDA UNIV. · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.16, combined xG 1.54 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Guillermo Brown (H) 39.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud Unida Univ. (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guillermo Brown face Juventud Unida Univ. in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guillermo Brown a 40% chance, the draw 35% and Juventud Unida Univ. 26%, so Guillermo Brown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Guillermo Brown and 0.7 for Juventud Unida Univ. (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guillermo Brown are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.11 for Juventud Unida Univ..

Guillermo Brown vs Juventud Unida Univ. Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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