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Deportivo Metalurgico vs Defensores Glew Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 10 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 17:30

Deportivo Metalurgico

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Defensores Glew

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.1%0-24.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.3%1-112.7%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.1%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 42.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.6%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Metalurgico1.4

Defensores Glew1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO METALURGICO · PPG 2.25

DEFENSORES GLEW · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.44, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Metalurgico (H) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Defensores Glew (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Metalurgico face Defensores Glew in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Metalurgico a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Defensores Glew 28%, so Deportivo Metalurgico are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Deportivo Metalurgico and 1.0 for Defensores Glew (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Metalurgico are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Defensores Glew. This match finished 0-3.

Deportivo Metalurgico vs Defensores Glew Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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