Today / Australia - NPL Northern NSW / Belmont Swansea vs Lambton Jaffas
Belmont Swansea vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - NPL Northern NSW
Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 06:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 47% / xG 2.0-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%
Form & verdict
BELMONT SWANSEA · PPG 1.89
LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 1.30
xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Belmont Swansea face Lambton Jaffas in Australia - NPL Northern NSW on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belmont Swansea a 47% chance, the draw 22% and Lambton Jaffas 31%, so Belmont Swansea are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Belmont Swansea and 1.8 for Lambton Jaffas (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belmont Swansea are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.30 for Lambton Jaffas. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.3%. This match finished 2-1.