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XV de Piracicaba U20 vs São Caetano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 11 ·Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 18:00

XV de Piracicaba U20

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

São Caetano U20

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-15.8%0-21.7%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.0%1-110.0%1-22.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.7%2-18.7%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.5%3-15.0%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-13.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.2% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 22.0% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -55.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 55% / xG 1.7-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.0%

#2 2–0 14.7%

#3 1–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

XV de Piracicaba U201.7

São Caetano U200.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

XV DE PIRACICABA U20 · PPG 1.60

SÃO CAETANO U20 · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

XV de Piracicaba U20 (H) 55.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

São Caetano U20 (A) 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

XV de Piracicaba U20 face São Caetano U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives XV de Piracicaba U20 a 55% chance, the draw 23% and São Caetano U20 22%, so XV de Piracicaba U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for XV de Piracicaba U20 and 0.6 for São Caetano U20 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, XV de Piracicaba U20 are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.25 for São Caetano U20.

XV de Piracicaba U20 vs São Caetano U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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