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Åsane II vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 17:00

Åsane II

PPG 0.50 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Austevoll

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.6%0-22.8%0-32.0%0-4+1.7%1 1-02.8%1-15.9%1-26.3%1-34.5%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.2%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-02.4%3-15.1%3-25.4%3-33.9%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-14.9%4+-25.3%4+-33.7%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% — — —

Draw 21.0% — — —

Away win 36.0% — — —

Over 2.5 71.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 56.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 81%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.4%

H 43% / xG 2.3-2.1 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%

#2 1–1 5.9%

#3 2–1 6.7%

#4 1–2 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Åsane II2.3

Austevoll2.1

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ÅSANE II · PPG 0.50

AUSTEVOLL · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Åsane II (H) 42.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Austevoll (A) 36.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Åsane II face Austevoll in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Åsane II a 43% chance, the draw 21% and Austevoll 36%, so Åsane II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Åsane II and 2.1 for Austevoll (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Åsane II are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.29 for Austevoll. This match finished 0-1.

Åsane II vs Austevoll Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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