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Brann II vs Stord Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 17:00

Brann II

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stord

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.87 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.67 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.4%0-21.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.4%1-14.6%1-23.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.5%2-17.3%2-24.9%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.9%3-17.8%3-25.2%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-010.5%4+-114.0%4+-29.3%4+-34.1%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.5% — — —

Draw 16.7% — — —

Away win 18.8% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.3% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 81%

Score Hit 24%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.5%

H 64% / xG 3.2-1.3 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 7.3%

#3 4–1 6.3%

#4 3–0 5.9%

#5 2–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brann II3.2

Stord1.3

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BRANN II · PPG 2.50

STORD · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.87 for Home, form 2.50 vs 1.67 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Brann II (H) 64.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stord (A) 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brann II face Stord in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brann II a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Stord 19%, so Brann II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Brann II and 1.3 for Stord (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brann II are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.67 for Stord.

Brann II vs Stord Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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