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Beasain vs UD Logrones Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 32 Estado Municipal de Loinaz· Beasain Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:00
Beasain logo Beasain PPG 1.13
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
UD Logrones logo UD Logrones PPG 1.27
BTTS· +8.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Beasain face UD Logrones in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beasain a 25% chance, the draw 22% and UD Logrones 53%, so UD Logrones are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Beasain and 1.9 for UD Logrones (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beasain are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.27 for UD Logrones. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +8.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.8%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -18.2%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -30.6%
Away 52.9%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +8.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 38.2% Odds: —
BTTS 60.3% Odds: 1.80 +8.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Beasain
1.24
UD Logrones
1.90

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 68%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 63%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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