IMT N. Beograd vs Mladost Lucani Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Serbia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 31 Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:00

IMT N. Beograd PPG 1.47

1-1 HIT CS3

Mladost Lucani PPG 0.73

Home· +2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

IMT N. Beograd face Mladost Lucani in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IMT N. Beograd a 58% chance, the draw 24% and Mladost Lucani 18%, so IMT N. Beograd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for IMT N. Beograd and 0.8 for Mladost Lucani (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IMT N. Beograd are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.73 for Mladost Lucani. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.3%

Odds: 1.75 EV: +2.0%

Draw 24.1%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -15.7%

Away 17.6%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -23.8%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.9% Odds: 2.00 -10.2%

Over 3.5 23.7% Odds: 3.55 -15.9%

BTTS 44.7% Odds: 1.85 -17.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

IMT N. Beograd

1.68

Mladost Lucani

0.80

Model SuggestionHome +2.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.73)