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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 13 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 15:00

Olimpik-Mobiuz

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jayxun

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.6%0-22.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.0%1-19.6%1-24.6%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.2%3-16.9%3-23.3%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-15.8%4+-22.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 61.4% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–0 10.4%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 3–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olimpik-Mobiuz2.1

Jayxun1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OLIMPIK-MOBIUZ · PPG 1.60

JAYXUN · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Olimpik-Mobiuz (H) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jayxun (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olimpik-Mobiuz face Jayxun in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olimpik-Mobiuz a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Jayxun 23%, so Olimpik-Mobiuz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Olimpik-Mobiuz and 1.0 for Jayxun (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olimpik-Mobiuz are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.40 for Jayxun.

Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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