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Manta vs D. Cuenca Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 9 Estadio Jocay· Manta Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:00
Manta logo Manta PPG 0.00
0-1 HIT CS2
D. Cuenca logo D. Cuenca PPG 1.50
Draw· +26.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Manta face D. Cuenca in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manta a 11% chance, the draw 40% and D. Cuenca 49%, so D. Cuenca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.3 for Manta and 0.9 for D. Cuenca (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 11% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 14% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manta are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.50 for D. Cuenca. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +26.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.2%
Odds: 2.74 EV: -69.3%
Draw 40.3%
Odds: 3.15 EV: +26.9%
Away 48.5%
Odds: 2.56 EV: +24.2%
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 10.5% Odds: 2.20 -76.9%
Over 3.5 2.8% Odds: 4.20 -88.2%
BTTS 13.6% Odds: 1.83 -75.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Manta
0.27
D. Cuenca
0.86

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.
Raw EV leader: Draw(+26.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 1.8%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org