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V. San Carlos vs D. Armenio Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Regular Season - 12 Genacio Salice Stadium· Buenos Aires Sunday, April 19, 2026 18:00
V. San Carlos logo V. San Carlos PPG 0.83
4-1 MISS
D. Armenio logo D. Armenio PPG 1.17
Home· +49.8% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

V. San Carlos face D. Armenio in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. San Carlos a 54% chance, the draw 28% and D. Armenio 19%, so V. San Carlos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for V. San Carlos and 0.7 for D. Armenio (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. San Carlos are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.17 for D. Armenio. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +49.8%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.5%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +49.8%
Draw 27.6%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -21.3%
Away 19.0%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -51.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.2% Odds: 2.85 +0.3%
Over 3.5 16.2% Odds: —
BTTS 38.2% Odds: 2.20 -16.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

V. San Carlos
1.40
D. Armenio
0.71

Model Suggestion

Home +49.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.83) vs Away AVERAGE (1.17)

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