Aguilas FC vs Lorca Deportiva Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Match Preview & Prediction

Aguilas FC face Lorca Deportiva in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aguilas FC a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Lorca Deportiva 8%, so Aguilas FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Aguilas FC and 0.5 for Lorca Deportiva (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aguilas FC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.07 for Lorca Deportiva. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 2-0.