Hull City vs Norwich City Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 46 MKM Stadium· Hull Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:30

Hull City PPG 1.59

2-1 HIT CS2

Norwich City PPG 1.59

Away· +23.9% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hull City face Norwich City in England - Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hull City a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Norwich City 35%, so Hull City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hull City and 1.4 for Norwich City (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hull City are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.59 for Norwich City. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.1%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -31.4%

Draw 29.0%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +10.2%

Away 34.9%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +23.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%

Over 3.5 30.4% Odds: 2.45 -25.5%

BTTS 58.2% Odds: 1.53 -10.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hull City

1.40

Norwich City

1.38

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.59), Away GOOD (1.59)