Sheffield Wed vs West Brom Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 46 Hillsborough· Sheffield Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:30

Sheffield Wed PPG 0.32

2-1 MISS

West Brom PPG 0.86

Draw· +36.1% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sheffield Wed face West Brom in England - Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sheffield Wed a 24% chance, the draw 31% and West Brom 45%, so West Brom are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sheffield Wed and 1.4 for West Brom (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sheffield Wed are averaging 0.32 points per game versus 0.86 for West Brom. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +36.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.9%

Odds: 5.60 EV: +33.8%

Draw 31.3%

Odds: 4.35 EV: +36.1%

Away 44.9%

Odds: 1.51 EV: -32.2%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.8% Odds: 1.62 -33.9%

Over 3.5 20.4% Odds: 2.60 -47.0%

BTTS 47.5% Odds: 1.73 -17.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Wed

0.94

West Brom

1.37

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -1.0%

Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: POOR form (0.86) vs Home POOR (0.32)