Blackburn vs Leicester City Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship Regular Season - 46 Ewood Park· Blackburn Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:30

Blackburn PPG 0.95

0-1 HIT CS4

Leicester City PPG 0.95

Draw· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Blackburn face Leicester City in England - Championship on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blackburn a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Leicester City 32%, so Blackburn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Blackburn and 1.2 for Leicester City (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blackburn are averaging 0.95 points per game versus 0.95 for Leicester City. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.2%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -21.1%

Draw 31.6%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +12.2%

Away 32.2%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -1.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.9% Odds: 1.80 -22.8%

Over 3.5 22.0% Odds: 3.00 -34.0%

BTTS 50.6% Odds: 1.65 -16.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Blackburn

1.24

Leicester City

1.16

Model SuggestionBTTS -16.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+12.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.95), Away POOR (0.95)