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Partizani T. vs Bylis Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 17:00

Partizani T.

PPG 1.47 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Bylis

PPG 0.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-14.8%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.4%1-19.5%1-23.4%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.3%2-19.4%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.8%3-16.2%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-14.9%4+-21.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.5% 65.4% 1.53 +3.3%

Draw 20.2% 27.0% 3.70 -25.3%

Away win 12.3% 19.0% 5.25 -35.4%

Over 2.5 50.5% 46.5% 2.15 +8.6%

Over 3.5 28.4% — — —

BTTS 43.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.7%

H 68% / xG 2.0-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.4%

#2 2–0 13.3%

#3 1–1✓ 9.5%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Partizani T.2.0

Bylis0.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PARTIZANI T. · PPG 1.47

BYLIS · PPG 0.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.47), Away POOR (0.53) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Partizani T. (H) 67.5%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV +3.3%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -25.3%

Bylis (A) 12.3%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -35.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Partizani T. face Bylis in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partizani T. a 68% chance, the draw 20% and Bylis 12%, so Partizani T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Partizani T. and 0.7 for Bylis (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partizani T. are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.53 for Bylis. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Partizani T. vs Bylis Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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