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Nyköping vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 14:00

Nyköping

PPG 2.25 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sleipner

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-12.8%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.7%1-17.2%1-23.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-19.3%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.6%3-18.0%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.2%4+-19.5%4+-24.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.1% — — —

Draw 18.3% — — —

Away win 18.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.7% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 26.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -29.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob59.9%

H 63% / xG 2.6-0.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 3–0 8.6%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 3–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nyköping2.6

Sleipner0.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NYKÖPING · PPG 2.25

SLEIPNER · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.65 for Home, form 2.25 vs 1.71 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Nyköping (H) 63.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sleipner (A) 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyköping face Sleipner in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyköping a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Sleipner 19%, so Nyköping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Nyköping and 0.9 for Sleipner (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyköping are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.71 for Sleipner. This match finished 1-0.

Nyköping vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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