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Örebro Syrianska vs Forward Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand · Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Örebro Syrianska

PPG 1.86 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Forward

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.5% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-111.9%0-26.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.6%1-113.4%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.1%2-17.6%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.7%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 42.9% 2.33 -5.2%

Draw 28.4% 28.2% 3.55 +0.5%

Away win 31.0% 38.5% 2.60 -19.4%

Over 2.5 45.9% 61.7% 1.62 -25.6%

Over 3.5 28.3% 40.0% 2.50 -17.5%

BTTS 52.5% 67.6% 1.48 -22.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 51.3% 1.95 -37.4%

Away O1.5 34.4% 47.6% 2.10 -27.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -29.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.5%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Örebro Syrianska1.1

Forward1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ÖREBRO SYRIANSKA · PPG 1.86

FORWARD · PPG 2.00

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Örebro Syrianska (H) 40.7%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -5.2%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +0.5%

Forward (A) 31.0%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Örebro Syrianska face Forward in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Örebro Syrianska a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Forward 31%, so Örebro Syrianska are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Örebro Syrianska and 1.1 for Forward (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Örebro Syrianska are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 2.00 for Forward. This match finished 1-1.

Örebro Syrianska vs Forward Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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