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Odishi 1919 vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.43 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Shturmi

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.8%0-117.0%0-28.1%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.7%1-113.1%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.3%2-15.0%2-22.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.4%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% — — —

Draw 35.1% — — —

Away win 36.6% — — —

Over 2.5 34.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 46.0% — — —

Home O1.5 18.0% — — —

Away O1.5 24.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.0%

D 35% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.8%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 0–1 17.0%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19190.8

Shturmi1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.43

SHTURMI · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.43), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shturmi (A) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Shturmi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 28% chance, the draw 35% and Shturmi 37%, so Shturmi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Odishi 1919 and 1.0 for Shturmi (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.29 for Shturmi. This match finished 2-1.

Odishi 1919 vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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