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Telavi vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Telavi

PPG 2.14 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Gori

PPG 0.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.6%0-18.9%0-22.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-022.4%1-110.7%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-16.4%2-21.5%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.4%3-12.6%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 19.6% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 43.7% — — —

Home O1.5 33.8% — — —

Away O1.5 8.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob43.7%

H 52% / xG 1.2-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 22.4%

#2 0–0 18.6%

#3 2–0 13.5%

#4 1–1 10.7%

#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Telavi1.2

Gori0.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TELAVI · PPG 2.14

GORI · PPG 0.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Telavi (H) 52.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gori (A) 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Telavi face Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Telavi a 52% chance, the draw 28% and Gori 20%, so Telavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Telavi and 0.5 for Gori (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Telavi are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.43 for Gori. This match finished 1-0.

Telavi vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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