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Carolina Core vs Huntsville City Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 23:30

Carolina Core

PPG 1.45 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Huntsville City

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-14.6%0-23.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.4%1-19.2%1-26.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.5%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.3%3-16.2%3-24.4%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.0%4+-23.5%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 46.5% 2.15 +6.9%

Draw 23.0% 32.3% 3.10 -17.2%

Away win 27.3% 35.7% 2.80 -14.1%

Over 2.5 63.4% 63.7% 1.57 -0.5%

Over 3.5 40.1% 43.3% 2.31 -7.4%

BTTS 62.5% 66.7% 1.50 -6.3%

Home O1.5 55.4% 55.2% 1.81 +0.3%

Away O1.5 43.7% 46.5% 2.15 -6.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 28.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.5%

H 50% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–2 6.6%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 2–0✓ 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Carolina Core2.0

Huntsville City1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CAROLINA CORE · PPG 1.45

HUNTSVILLE CITY · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Carolina Core (H) 49.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +6.9%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -17.2%

Huntsville City (A) 27.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Carolina Core face Huntsville City in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Carolina Core a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Huntsville City 27%, so Carolina Core are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Carolina Core and 1.4 for Huntsville City (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Carolina Core are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.30 for Huntsville City. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Carolina Core vs Huntsville City Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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