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Dep. Santo Domingo vs 9 de Octubre Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Regular Season - 19 ·Thursday, July 30, 2026, 00:00

Dep. Santo Domingo

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

9 de Octubre

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-030.7%0-115.1%0-23.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.1%1-110.4%1-22.6%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.3%2-13.6%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.7%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% — — —

Draw 37.9% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 27.6% — — —

Over 3.5 11.1% — — —

BTTS 33.3% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob33.3%

H 38% / xG 0.7-0.5 / U2.5 28% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 30.7%

#2 1–0 21.1%

#3 0–1 15.1%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dep. Santo Domingo0.7

9 de Octubre0.5

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 27.6% · O3.5 PROB 11.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEP. SANTO DOMINGO · PPG 2.00

9 DE OCTUBRE · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.19, combined xG 1.18 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dep. Santo Domingo (H) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 37.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

9 de Octubre (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dep. Santo Domingo face 9 de Octubre in Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B on Thursday, July 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dep. Santo Domingo a 38% chance, the draw 38% and 9 de Octubre 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Dep. Santo Domingo and 0.5 for 9 de Octubre (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dep. Santo Domingo are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.38 for 9 de Octubre.

Dep. Santo Domingo vs 9 de Octubre Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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