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Huachipato vs Everton de Vina Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 19:00

Huachipato

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Everton de Vina

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.1% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-16.7%0-23.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.1%1-111.4%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.6%2-19.6%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.8%3-15.5%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.4%4+-21.9%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% 43.9% 2.28 +10.3%

Draw 24.0% 30.3% 3.30 -12.5%

Away win 27.6% 34.7% 2.88 -12.3%

Over 2.5 60.4% 54.1% 1.85 +11.7%

Over 3.5 36.8% 31.3% 3.20 +17.8%

BTTS 59.1% 60.6% 1.65 -2.5%

Home O1.5 49.2% 45.5% 2.20 +8.2%

Away O1.5 35.4% 39.2% 2.55 -9.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 21.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.1%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huachipato1.7

Everton de Vina1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HUACHIPATO · PPG 2.00

EVERTON DE VINA · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Huachipato (H) 48.4%

ODDS 2.28 · IMPLIED 43.9% EV +10.3%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.5%

Everton de Vina (A) 27.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huachipato face Everton de Vina in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huachipato a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Everton de Vina 28%, so Huachipato are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Huachipato and 1.1 for Everton de Vina (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huachipato are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.38 for Everton de Vina. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.8%. This match finished 1-4.

Huachipato vs Everton de Vina Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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