Today / Serbia - Super Liga / Radnicki 1923 vs Radnicki Nis

Radnicki 1923 vs Radnicki Nis Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 31 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 16:00

Radnicki 1923 logo
Radnicki 1923
PPG 1.40 · HOME
LAST 5
WDDDD
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Radnicki Nis logo
Radnicki Nis
PPG 0.60 · AWAY
LAST 5
LWWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.1%0-24.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.3%1-112.7%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.1%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.1% 53.8% 1.86 -12.4%
Draw 27.1% 29.9% 3.35 -9.2%
Away win 25.7% 25.6% 3.90 +0.2%
Over 2.5 41.8% 51.3% 1.95 -18.5%
Over 3.5 21.2% 29.4% 3.40 -27.9%
BTTS 46.3% 56.5% 1.77 -18.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5 47%
BTTS 42%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -37.4%
Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.3%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.3%
#2 1–1 12.7%
#3 0–0 9.5%
#4 2–0 9.3%
#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki 19231.4
Radnicki Nis1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.40

RADNICKI NIS · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
47%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki 1923 (H) 47.1%
ODDS 1.86 · IMPLIED 53.8% EV -12.4%
Draw 27.1%
ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -9.2%
Radnicki Nis (A) 25.7%
ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +0.2%

Season Statistics average per match · 37 matches · 2025

Radnicki 1923 ▾ lower is better Radnicki Nis

Attack

13.8
Shots
11.9
4.5
Shots on target
4.0
5.6
Shots off target
4.5
3.6
Blocked shots
3.4
8.2
Shots inside box
6.8
5.6
Shots outside box
5.1
32.9%
Shooting accuracy
33.8%
24.4%
Goals per shot on target
30.9%
1.11
Goals
1.24
1.12
xG for 16·18 of 37
1.08

Defence

10.4
Shots faced
11.9
3.7
Shots on target faced
4.2
1.14
Goals conceded
1.32
1.17
xG against 16·18 of 37
1.27
2.5
Goalkeeper saves
2.8

Control

51.8%
Possession
49.6%
374
Passes
376
295
Accurate passes
293
78.9%
Pass accuracy
78.0%
4.6
Corners
3.7
3.7
Corners faced
4.8
1.3
Offsides
1.4

Discipline

12.8
Fouls
14.4
2.4
Yellow cards
2.9
0.11
Red cards
0.14

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki 1923 face Radnicki Nis in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki 1923 a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Radnicki Nis 26%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radnicki 1923 and 1.0 for Radnicki Nis (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki 1923 are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.60 for Radnicki Nis. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.2%. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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