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Radnicki 1923 vs Radnicki Nis Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group - 31 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 16:00

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Radnicki Nis

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.1%0-24.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.3%1-112.7%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.3%3-14.1%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 53.8% 1.86 -12.4%

Draw 27.1% 29.9% 3.35 -9.2%

Away win 25.7% 25.6% 3.90 +0.2%

Over 2.5 41.8% 51.3% 1.95 -18.5%

Over 3.5 21.2% 29.4% 3.40 -27.9%

BTTS 46.3% 56.5% 1.77 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.3%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.3%

#2 1–1✓ 12.7%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki 19231.4

Radnicki Nis1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.40

RADNICKI NIS · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki 1923 (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.86 · IMPLIED 53.8% EV -12.4%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -9.2%

Radnicki Nis (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki 1923 face Radnicki Nis in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki 1923 a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Radnicki Nis 26%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radnicki 1923 and 1.0 for Radnicki Nis (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki 1923 are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.60 for Radnicki Nis. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Radnicki 1923 vs Radnicki Nis Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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