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Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Las Mandarinas

PPG 0.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ezeiza

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-118.0%0-28.5%0-32.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.6%1-112.8%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.9%2-14.6%2-22.2%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.1% — — —

Draw 33.8% — — —

Away win 37.1% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.5%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.0%

#2 0–1 18.0%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 1–0 13.6%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Las Mandarinas0.7

Ezeiza0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LAS MANDARINAS · PPG 0.00

EZEIZA · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.23, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Las Mandarinas (H) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ezeiza (A) 37.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Las Mandarinas face Ezeiza in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Las Mandarinas a 29% chance, the draw 34% and Ezeiza 37%, so Ezeiza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Las Mandarinas and 0.9 for Ezeiza (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Las Mandarinas are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.60 for Ezeiza.

Las Mandarinas vs Ezeiza Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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