Today / Argentina - Primera C / Estrella Del Sur vs JJ Urquiza

Estrella Del Sur vs JJ Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Estrella Del Sur

PPG 1.73 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

JJ Urquiza

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.7%0-110.2%0-22.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.0%1-110.3%1-22.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.1%2-15.2%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.1%3-11.7%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 31.8% — — —

Away win 20.2% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.4% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.9%

H 48% / xG 1.0-0.4 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.7%

#2 1–0✓ 24.0%

#3 2–0 12.1%

#4 1–1 10.3%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estrella Del Sur1.0

JJ Urquiza0.4

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTRELLA DEL SUR · PPG 1.73

JJ URQUIZA · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Estrella Del Sur (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

JJ Urquiza (A) 20.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Estrella Del Sur face JJ Urquiza in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estrella Del Sur a 48% chance, the draw 32% and JJ Urquiza 20%, so Estrella Del Sur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Estrella Del Sur and 0.4 for JJ Urquiza (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estrella Del Sur are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.92 for JJ Urquiza. This match finished 1-0.

Estrella Del Sur vs JJ Urquiza Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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