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NTNUI vs Byåsen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 17:00

NTNUI

PPG 1.14 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Byåsen

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.8% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.4%0-23.4%0-32.3%0-4+1.8%1 1-03.5%1-17.0%1-27.1%1-34.8%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.6%2-17.3%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.5%3-15.0%3-25.1%3-33.4%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-14.2%4+-24.2%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 30.3% 3.30 +47.8%

Draw 21.7% 22.2% 4.50 -1.4%

Away win 33.5% 58.8% 1.70 -43.0%

Over 2.5 72.8% 75.2% 1.33 -3.2%

Over 3.5 47.5% 55.6% 1.80 -14.5%

BTTS 69.6% 75.8% 1.32 -8.1%

Home O1.5 61.4% 48.1% 2.08 +27.7%

Away O1.5 54.7% 71.4% 1.40 -23.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.6%

H 45% / xG 2.1-2.0 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.0%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 3–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NTNUI2.1

Byåsen2.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.8% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NTNUI · PPG 1.14

BYÅSEN · PPG 1.14

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

NTNUI (H) 44.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +47.8%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -1.4%

Byåsen (A) 33.5%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -43.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

NTNUI face Byåsen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NTNUI a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Byåsen 34%, so NTNUI are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for NTNUI and 2.0 for Byåsen (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NTNUI are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Byåsen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +38.9%. This match finished 0-0.

NTNUI vs Byåsen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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