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Spjelkavik vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Spjelkavik

PPG 1.29 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Strindheim

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.4%0-23.7%0-32.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.0%1-18.6%1-27.3%1-34.1%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.9%2-18.4%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.2%3-15.5%3-24.7%3-32.7%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-14.2%4+-23.6%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 30.9% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.3%

H 47% / xG 2.0-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spjelkavik2.0

Strindheim1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SPJELKAVIK · PPG 1.29

STRINDHEIM · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Spjelkavik (H) 47.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strindheim (A) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spjelkavik face Strindheim in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spjelkavik a 47% chance, the draw 22% and Strindheim 31%, so Spjelkavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Spjelkavik and 1.7 for Strindheim (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spjelkavik are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.29 for Strindheim. This match finished 0-4.

Spjelkavik vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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