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Molde II vs Kvik Trondheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:00

Molde II

PPG 1.50 · HOME

6 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kvik Trondheim

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.3%0-21.6%0-31.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-01.6%1-13.8%1-24.4%1-33.5%1-4+3.6%2 2-02.2%2-15.3%2-26.2%2-34.9%2-4+5.1%3 3-02.1%3-14.9%3-25.9%3-34.6%3-4+4.8%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-16.9%4+-28.2%4+-36.4%4+-4+6.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 32.9% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 59.0% — — —

BTTS 71.4% — — —

Home O1.5 68.0% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-3

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob71.4%

H 47% / xG 2.8-2.4 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.2%

#2 3–2 5.9%

#3 2–1 5.3%

#4 3–1 4.9%

#5 2–3 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molde II2.8

Kvik Trondheim2.4

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLDE II · PPG 1.50

KVIK TRONDHEIM · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Molde II (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kvik Trondheim (A) 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molde II face Kvik Trondheim in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molde II a 47% chance, the draw 20% and Kvik Trondheim 33%, so Molde II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Molde II and 2.4 for Kvik Trondheim (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molde II are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.67 for Kvik Trondheim. This match finished 6-3.

Molde II vs Kvik Trondheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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