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Rosenborg II vs Ranheim II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 15 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 17:00

Rosenborg II

PPG 2.00 · HOME

7 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Ranheim II

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 80.3% vs bookmaker-implied 81.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.6%0-21.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-03.1%1-14.8%1-23.8%1-32.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.6%2-17.3%2-25.7%2-33.0%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.6%3-17.3%3-25.8%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-111.6%4+-29.1%4+-34.8%4+-4+2.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.4% 66.7% 1.50 -4.9%

Draw 15.6% 20.8% 4.80 -15.1%

Away win 20.9% 23.8% 4.20 -7.3%

Over 2.5 71.6% 85.5% 1.17 -16.2%

Over 3.5 52.2% 73.5% 1.36 -29.0%

BTTS 67.3% 83.3% 1.20 -19.2%

Home O1.5 80.3% 81.3% 1.23 -1.2%

Away O1.5 47.3% 55.2% 1.81 -14.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-1

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob67.3%

H 63% / xG 3.0-1.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 2–1 7.3%

#3 3–2 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.7%

#5 1–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosenborg II3.0

Ranheim II1.6

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENBORG II · PPG 2.00

RANHEIM II · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.43 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rosenborg II (H) 63.4%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -4.9%

Draw 15.6%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -15.1%

Ranheim II (A) 20.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -7.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosenborg II face Ranheim II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosenborg II a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Ranheim II 21%, so Rosenborg II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Rosenborg II and 1.6 for Ranheim II (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosenborg II are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Ranheim II. This match finished 7-1.

Rosenborg II vs Ranheim II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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