Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Strindheim vs Aalesund II

Strindheim vs Aalesund II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 16:00

Strindheim

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Aalesund II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.81 for Home, form 2.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.1%0-20.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-02.3%1-13.7%1-22.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.0%2-16.3%2-25.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.5%3-17.1%3-25.6%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-09.1%4+-114.3%4+-211.3%4+-36.0%4+-4+3.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.9% — — —

Draw 16.3% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 74.4% — — —

Over 3.5 54.0% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 77.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob70.3%

H 63% / xG 3.4-1.6 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 6.3%

#3 4–1 6.0%

#4 3–2 5.6%

#5 2–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Strindheim3.4

Aalesund II1.6

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.4% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

STRINDHEIM · PPG 2.00

AALESUND II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.81 for Home, form 2.00 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Strindheim (H) 62.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aalesund II (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Strindheim face Aalesund II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Strindheim a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Aalesund II 21%, so Strindheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Strindheim and 1.6 for Aalesund II (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Strindheim are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Aalesund II.

Strindheim vs Aalesund II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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