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Volda vs Nardo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Volda

PPG 2.14 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Nardo

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.9%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.6%1-13.2%1-22.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.8%2-16.0%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.0%3-17.4%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-015.0%4+-118.5%4+-211.4%4+-34.7%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.2% — — —

Draw 16.2% — — —

Away win 10.6% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 57.2% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 84%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob64.3%

H 73% / xG 3.7-1.2 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.4%

#2 4–1 7.0%

#3 3–0 6.0%

#4 2–1 6.0%

#5 4–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volda3.7

Nardo1.2

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLDA · PPG 2.14

NARDO · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.51 for Home, form 2.14 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Volda (H) 73.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nardo (A) 10.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Volda face Nardo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volda a 73% chance, the draw 16% and Nardo 11%, so Volda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Volda and 1.2 for Nardo (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volda are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.14 for Nardo. This match finished 2-0.

Volda vs Nardo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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