Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus

Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 14 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 17:00

Kvik Trondheim

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Melhus

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-16.9%0-26.9%0-34.7%0-4+3.8%1 1-04.6%1-19.4%1-29.4%1-36.4%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.2%2-16.4%2-26.4%2-34.3%2-4+3.5%3 3-01.4%3-12.9%3-22.9%3-32.0%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 50.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob62.1%

A 50% / xG 1.4-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kvik Trondheim1.4

Melhus2.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KVIK TRONDHEIM · PPG 1.00

MELHUS · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.66 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kvik Trondheim (H) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Melhus (A) 50.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kvik Trondheim face Melhus in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kvik Trondheim a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Melhus 50%, so Melhus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Kvik Trondheim and 2.0 for Melhus (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kvik Trondheim are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Melhus.

Kvik Trondheim vs Melhus Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 Predictions