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Ranheim II vs NTNUI Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 14 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 17:00

Ranheim II

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

NTNUI

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.6%0-20.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-00.9%1-12.1%1-22.4%1-31.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-01.7%2-13.8%2-24.4%2-33.4%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.0%3-14.7%3-25.5%3-34.2%3-4+4.2%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-111.7%4+-213.5%4+-310.4%4+-4+10.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.1% — — —

Draw 17.1% — — —

Away win 24.7% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 63.5% — — —

BTTS 71.2% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 30%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob71.2%

H 58% / xG 3.7-2.3 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.5%

#2 4–2 5.1%

#3 3–1 4.7%

#4 2–2 4.4%

#5 4–1 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim II3.7

NTNUI2.3

COMBINED 6.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 63.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM II · PPG 1.71

NTNUI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.41 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim II (H) 58.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

NTNUI (A) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim II face NTNUI in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim II a 58% chance, the draw 17% and NTNUI 25%, so Ranheim II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Ranheim II and 2.3 for NTNUI (6.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim II are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for NTNUI.

Ranheim II vs NTNUI Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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