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Dinamo Brest vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Brest

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Belshina

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-12.9%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.6%1-17.3%1-22.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-19.1%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.6%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.3%4+-18.6%4+-23.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.7% 73.5% 1.36 -9.3%

Draw 17.3% 21.3% 4.70 -11.2%

Away win 16.0% 12.3% 8.10 +17.8%

Over 2.5 63.6% 55.9% 1.79 +13.8%

Over 3.5 40.6% 35.7% 2.80 +13.7%

BTTS 52.6% 48.8% 2.05 +7.8%

Home O1.5 64.0% 65.4% 1.53 -2.1%

Away O1.5 20.3% 18.2% 5.50 +7.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 13%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 67% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%

#2 3–0 10.0%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 1–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Brest2.5

Belshina0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BREST · PPG 1.43

BELSHINA · PPG 0.00

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.74 for Home, form 1.43 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Brest (H) 66.7%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -9.3%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 4.70 · IMPLIED 21.3% EV -11.2%

Belshina (A) 16.0%

ODDS 8.10 · IMPLIED 12.3% EV +17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Brest face Belshina in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Brest a 67% chance, the draw 17% and Belshina 16%, so Dinamo Brest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Dinamo Brest and 0.8 for Belshina (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Brest are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.00 for Belshina. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.8%.

Dinamo Brest vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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