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Baranovichi vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:10

Baranovichi

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Isloch Minsk R.

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.07 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-113.3%0-212.3%0-37.6%0-4+5.4%1 1-05.6%1-110.4%1-29.6%1-36.0%1-4+4.2%2 2-02.2%2-14.1%2-23.8%2-32.3%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.6%3-11.1%3-21.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.6% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 57.3% — — —

Over 2.5 51.3% — — —

Over 3.5 29.3% — — —

BTTS 50.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 14%

O2.5 29%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob50.5%

A 57% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.3%

#2 1–1 10.4%

#3 0–1 13.3%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baranovichi0.8

FC Isloch Minsk R.1.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BARANOVICHI · PPG 1.14

FC ISLOCH MINSK R. · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.07 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Baranovichi (H) 18.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Isloch Minsk R. (A) 57.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Baranovichi face FC Isloch Minsk R. in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baranovichi a 19% chance, the draw 24% and FC Isloch Minsk R. 57%, so FC Isloch Minsk R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Baranovichi and 1.9 for FC Isloch Minsk R. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baranovichi are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.62 for FC Isloch Minsk R..

Baranovichi vs FC Isloch Minsk R. Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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