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Holyhead Hotspur vs Brickfield Rangers Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship

North · Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:30

Holyhead Hotspur

PPG 1.65 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brickfield Rangers

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-15.6%0-24.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.1%1-110.1%1-27.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.9%3-15.6%3-24.0%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.8%4+-22.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 28.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.4% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 62.9% — — —

Home O1.5 49.8% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.9%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2✓ 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Holyhead Hotspur1.8

Brickfield Rangers1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLYHEAD HOTSPUR · PPG 1.65

BRICKFIELD RANGERS · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Holyhead Hotspur (H) 48.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Brickfield Rangers (A) 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Holyhead Hotspur face Brickfield Rangers in Wales - FAW Championship on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Holyhead Hotspur a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Brickfield Rangers 28%, so Holyhead Hotspur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Holyhead Hotspur and 1.4 for Brickfield Rangers (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Holyhead Hotspur are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.13 for Brickfield Rangers. This match finished 1-2.

Holyhead Hotspur vs Brickfield Rangers Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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