Today / Wales - FAW Championship / Gresford Athletic vs Newtown AFC
Gresford Athletic vs Newtown AFC Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship
North - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 38% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%
Form & verdict
GRESFORD ATHLETIC · PPG 1.39
NEWTOWN AFC · PPG 1.48
xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Gresford Athletic face Newtown AFC in Wales - FAW Championship on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gresford Athletic a 40% chance, the draw 22% and Newtown AFC 38%, so Gresford Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Gresford Athletic and 1.9 for Newtown AFC (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gresford Athletic are averaging 1.39 points per game versus 1.48 for Newtown AFC.