Today / Wales - FAW Championship / Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction— Wales - FAW Championship
South - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:30
// Model verdict
BTTS
xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%
Form & verdict
AFAN LIDO · PPG 1.26
ABERYSTWYTH TOWN · PPG 1.48
xG gap +0.16 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Afan Lido face Aberystwyth Town in Wales - FAW Championship on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Afan Lido a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Aberystwyth Town 30%, so Afan Lido are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Afan Lido and 1.3 for Aberystwyth Town (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Afan Lido are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 1.48 for Aberystwyth Town.