Haras El Hodood vs Al Ittihad Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 5 Cairo Military Academy Stadium· Cairo Sunday, April 19, 2026 15:00

Haras El Hodood PPG 1.17

2-2 MISS

Al Ittihad PPG 0.75

Home· +104.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Haras El Hodood face Al Ittihad in Egypt - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haras El Hodood a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Al Ittihad 23%, so Haras El Hodood are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Haras El Hodood and 0.7 for Al Ittihad (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haras El Hodood are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.75 for Al Ittihad. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +104.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 4.55 EV: +104.8%

Draw 31.6%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -14.7%

Away 23.4%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -53.2%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 27.8% Odds: 3.00 -16.6%

Over 3.5 11.4% Odds: 6.25 -28.7%

BTTS 34.3% Odds: 2.35 -19.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Haras El Hodood

1.12

Al Ittihad

0.71

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 4.4%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.75)