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Fulham United vs Eastern United Prediction— Australia - South Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:30

Fulham United

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eastern United

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.1% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.3%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.2%1-14.4%1-21.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.5%2-17.3%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.3%3-18.0%3-23.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-017.7%4+-115.2%4+-26.6%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.7% 67.6% 1.48 -1.3%

Draw 17.3% 22.2% 4.50 -13.3%

Away win 16.0% 21.1% 4.75 -14.4%

Over 2.5 67.0% 71.4% 1.40 -6.2%

Over 3.5 47.4% 53.5% 1.87 -11.4%

BTTS 55.4% 69.0% 1.45 -19.7%

Home O1.5 77.1% 75.2% 1.33 +2.5%

Away O1.5 21.6% 37.3% 2.68 -25.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 67% / xG 3.3-0.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.3%

#2 2–0 8.5%

#3 3–1 8.0%

#4 4–0 7.7%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fulham United3.3

Eastern United0.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FULHAM UNITED · PPG 1.89

EASTERN UNITED · PPG 0.56

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.43 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.56 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Fulham United (H) 66.7%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -1.3%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -13.3%

Eastern United (A) 16.0%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -14.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fulham United face Eastern United in Australia - South Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fulham United a 67% chance, the draw 17% and Eastern United 16%, so Fulham United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Fulham United and 0.9 for Eastern United (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fulham United are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.56 for Eastern United. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +2.5%.

Fulham United vs Eastern United Prediction— Australia - South Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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