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Uribelarrea vs Buenos Aires City Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:00

Uribelarrea

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Buenos Aires City

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.5%0-115.7%0-24.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.0%1-111.1%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.1%2-13.9%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.7%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.6% — — —

Draw 38.0% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 28.8% — — —

Over 3.5 12.2% — — —

BTTS 35.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob35.1%

H 37% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 29% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.5%

#2 1–0 20.0%

#3 0–1 15.7%

#4 1–1 11.1%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uribelarrea0.7

Buenos Aires City0.6

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 28.8% · O3.5 PROB 12.2%

Form & verdict PPG

URIBELARREA · PPG 2.00

BUENOS AIRES CITY · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.15, combined xG 1.26 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Uribelarrea (H) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Buenos Aires City (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Uribelarrea face Buenos Aires City in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uribelarrea a 37% chance, the draw 38% and Buenos Aires City 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Uribelarrea and 0.6 for Buenos Aires City (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uribelarrea are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Buenos Aires City.

Uribelarrea vs Buenos Aires City Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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