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Atletico Pilar vs Estrella de Berisso Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00

Atletico Pilar

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estrella de Berisso

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-115.2%0-28.2%0-32.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.4%1-113.4%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.5%2-15.9%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.6%3-11.7%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% — — —

Draw 29.3% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 23.4% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.7%

D 29% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.2%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico Pilar0.9

Estrella de Berisso1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 23.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO PILAR · PPG 1.00

ESTRELLA DE BERISSO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 1.96 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Atletico Pilar (H) 36.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estrella de Berisso (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Pilar face Estrella de Berisso in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Pilar a 37% chance, the draw 29% and Estrella de Berisso 34%, so Atletico Pilar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Atletico Pilar and 1.1 for Estrella de Berisso (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Pilar are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Estrella de Berisso.

Atletico Pilar vs Estrella de Berisso Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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