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Nautico Hacoaj vs Juventud de Bernal Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Nautico Hacoaj

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventud de Bernal

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.54 for Home, form 1.25 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-11.3%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.5%1-13.7%1-20.5%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.6%2-15.2%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-016.6%3-14.9%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-023.4%4+-16.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.5% — — —

Draw 16.9% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 70.7% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob44.5%

H 74% / xG 2.8-0.3 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.6%

#2 3–0 16.6%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 4–0 11.7%

#5 5–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nautico Hacoaj2.8

Juventud de Bernal0.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NAUTICO HACOAJ · PPG 1.25

JUVENTUD DE BERNAL · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.54 for Home, form 1.25 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Nautico Hacoaj (H) 74.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventud de Bernal (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nautico Hacoaj face Juventud de Bernal in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nautico Hacoaj a 75% chance, the draw 17% and Juventud de Bernal 9%, so Nautico Hacoaj are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Nautico Hacoaj and 0.3 for Juventud de Bernal (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nautico Hacoaj are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Juventud de Bernal.

Nautico Hacoaj vs Juventud de Bernal Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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