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Deportivo Metalurgico vs Defensores Glew Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:30

Deportivo Metalurgico

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Defensores Glew

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-110.3%0-25.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.8%1-113.1%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-18.4%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.5%3-13.6%3-21.8%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 36.7% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 83%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 10.0%

#3 1–0 12.8%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Metalurgico1.3

Defensores Glew1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO METALURGICO · PPG 2.25

DEFENSORES GLEW · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 2.30 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Metalurgico (H) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Defensores Glew (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Metalurgico face Defensores Glew in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Metalurgico a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Defensores Glew 30%, so Deportivo Metalurgico are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Deportivo Metalurgico and 1.0 for Defensores Glew (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Metalurgico are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.25 for Defensores Glew.

Deportivo Metalurgico vs Defensores Glew Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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