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Barrancas UMET vs Las Mandarinas Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 12 ·Monday, August 3, 2026, 13:00

Barrancas UMET

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Las Mandarinas

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.6%0-19.3%0-22.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.5%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.7%2-17.1%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.2%3-12.9%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 28.6% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.5% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 88%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.4%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.5%

#2 0–0 16.6%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 12.7%

#5 0–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Barrancas UMET1.2

Las Mandarinas0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BARRANCAS UMET · PPG 2.60

LAS MANDARINAS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Barrancas UMET (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Las Mandarinas (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Barrancas UMET face Las Mandarinas in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Monday, August 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Barrancas UMET a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Las Mandarinas 23%, so Barrancas UMET are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Barrancas UMET and 0.6 for Las Mandarinas (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Barrancas UMET are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Las Mandarinas.

Barrancas UMET vs Las Mandarinas Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

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