Today / Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur / Ezeiza vs Everton La Plata

Ezeiza vs Everton La Plata Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Matchday 12 ·Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 18:00

Ezeiza

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Everton La Plata

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.6%0-112.2%0-24.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.9%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.4%2-16.9%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.3%3-12.4%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% — — —

Draw 30.9% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.6% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 80%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.6%

#2 1–0 17.7%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ezeiza1.1

Everton La Plata0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EZEIZA · PPG 1.00

EVERTON LA PLATA · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 1.79 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ezeiza (H) 45.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Everton La Plata (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ezeiza face Everton La Plata in Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ezeiza a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Everton La Plata 24%, so Ezeiza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ezeiza and 0.7 for Everton La Plata (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ezeiza are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.60 for Everton La Plata.

Ezeiza vs Everton La Plata Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Torneo Promocional Amateur Predictions