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Tanabi SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Matchday 10 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 22:00

Tanabi SP U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Palmeiras U20

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.18 for Away, form 1.00 vs 2.50

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-18.3%0-211.9%0-311.3%0-4+16.2%1 1-02.0%1-15.7%1-28.1%1-37.7%1-4+11.0%2 2-00.7%2-11.9%2-22.7%2-32.6%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.2%3-10.4%3-20.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.4% — — —

Draw 17.0% — — —

Away win 70.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.1% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 68.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -76.5%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob49.6%

A 71% / xG 0.7-2.9 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.9%

#2 0–3 11.3%

#3 0–4 8.1%

#4 1–2 8.1%

#5 1–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tanabi SP U200.7

Palmeiras U202.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TANABI SP U20 · PPG 1.00

PALMEIRAS U20 · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.18 for Away, form 1.00 vs 2.50

Win probability 1X2

Tanabi SP U20 (H) 12.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Palmeiras U20 (A) 70.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tanabi SP U20 face Palmeiras U20 in Brazil - Paulista - U20 on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tanabi SP U20 a 12% chance, the draw 17% and Palmeiras U20 71%, so Palmeiras U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Tanabi SP U20 and 2.9 for Palmeiras U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tanabi SP U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Palmeiras U20.

Tanabi SP U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Prediction— Brazil - Paulista - U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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